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NFL – Week Nine: Best Spread Bets

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3 weeks ago

6th July 2024

Joe Day

NFL – Week Nine: Best Spread Bets

This season of the NFL has been wild to say the least. Last week, we had the Packers who got ran over by Dalvin Cook and then this week they demolish the 49ers. We also had the LA Chargers who have now blown a 14-point lead in their last four games… The game that I will hold my hands up and I say I got completely wrong was the LA Rams away at the Dolphins. But lesson learnt, and onto Week Nine!

Baltimore Ravens -1.5 @ Indianapolis Colts, 08/11/20

The Ravens, in their last game, did suffer defeat to the undefeated Pittsburgh Steelers. There were questions around Lamar Jackson’s throwing capability as his first throw was a pick six. His last throw was also an interception that handed the win to their AFC North rivals.

However, the Ravens are still a dominant side that will easily walk to the playoffs. Head coach Jim Harbaugh will be avoiding a second straight defeat with a win against the Colts. This is how it will happen.

The Colts have only won this year when they’ve kept their opposition under 27 points. The Ravens are currently tied for the longest streak in NFL history with scoring 20+ points in 30 straight games. They did this in their last game against the league’s undefeated defense.

Now the Colts are also 5-2 for the season with only one loss in their last six games. But they have thrown the most interceptions in the league with 11. The Ravens are third on takeaways in the league.

Yet a good matchup for the Colts is Baltimore’s rush offence which has the most yards and the most yards per attempt and per game. Yet, Indianapolis have the best rush defense in the league. An intriguing battle but I believe the Ravens will still score 20+ points and Phillip Rivers will be unable to keep up without conceding a turnover.

If the Colts would have gained more than just one and a half points I’d have taken them. But I believe in this Ravens team that have only lost to the very best AFC teams, with the Colts not sitting in the same bracket as the Chiefs or Steelers. The Ravens can win by more than 2 points.

The Ravens have scored at least 20 points in 30-straight games.

Tied with Denver (2012-14) for the longest such streak in NFL history.
The @PapaJohnsBal Stat of the Week ? pic.twitter.com/ySudW7z476

— Baltimore Ravens (@Ravens) November 5, 2020

New York Giants +2.5 @ Washington Football Team, 08/11/20

The New York Giants lost on Monday night football to one of the best teams in the NFL, the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. But considering the gap in quarterback and weapons between the two teams, they only lost by 2 points. In the spread they were +12… The football team came into this off a by and their last game was a win against the Cowboys.

The Giants have only won one game this year but that was at home against Washington. A low scoring affair in which the football team only lost because instead of tying up the game with an extra point, they went for two and failed.

I like the Giants +2.5 because Washington has a dilemma at quarterback. The Giants quarterback, Daniel Jones is not perfect either but at least we know he can make plays. The Washington Football team have the second worst offence, only ahead of the Jets. The Giants are only two ahead in 29^th but they have shown against one of the league’s best teams that they can perform.

Kyle Allen threw two touchdowns against the worst defense in the NFL, the Cowboys. This week he will be up against James Bradberry who is second in Interceptions with three for the season. Yes, the football team have Kendall Fuller who has four, but Daniel Jones still scored against the Buccaneers who have the second most takeaways in the league.

If the Giants can win with +2.5 at home the Buccaneers, I believe they can win with +2.5 away at the Washington Football Team, even if they are coming up against the league’s best passing defense.

Washington week. pic.twitter.com/dQdTi6S0EU

— New York Giants (@Giants) November 5, 2020

Houston Texans -7 @ Jacksonville Jaguars, 08/11/20

The Jaguars have not won a game since the opening day of the season and many believe they are tanking for Trevor Lawrence in the 2021 draft. The Texans by contrast have only one win in the season and that was at home to Jaguars in game week five. Both teams are coming into this off a by-week.

The history of this matchup strongly leans to the Texans who have won six of their last eight games in Jacksonville. Since the last game of 2011 the Texans are 15-4 against the Jags with nine of those 15 being by more than 10 points.

Looking at this season then, the Jaguars have only lost by less than seven points once. This was in game week two against the Titans, when they had the momentum coming off a win. Since then they have lost by more than seven points in every game.

Although, both teams are 1-6 for the season, the Texans have the better quarterback in Deshaun Watson with Minshew Mania being all but dead. Furthermore, Minshew has not practiced all week, a damming sign for Jacksonville.

Somehow, the Texans are the 11^th best passing team in the league but both teams are 32^nd and 31^st in rushing attack this season. Look for the ball to be in the air more than the ground.

How do these match up then? The Texans are better at defending the pass when compared to the Jags, with the Jags sacking the quarterback the least out of everyone in the league. Deshaun Watson has the eighth most passing touchdowns with 15 and only five interceptions.

The Texans kept wide receiver Will Fuller in the trade deadline who will be a big help for them as he leads their receiving yards and touchdowns. Their air attack will reign supreme as they have done in recent history.

Minshew hasn’t practiced all week with an injury to his right thumb, and just as he is out so are the Jaguars hopes of winning this game. The Texans with their healthy offence will put up points in Jacksonville. Although, Houston does not have the greatest of defenses it will be good enough to stop whoever the Jaguars starting quarterback is.

History will repeat itself at TIAA Bank Field with the Texans winning by more than seven to help the Jaguars get one step closer to Trevor Lawrence.

Deshaun Watson came through with 25/35 for 359 yards and 3 TDs in the #Texans Week 5 game against the Jaguars.
@awscloud | #WeAreTexans pic.twitter.com/E8Fs9ioQJn

— Houston Texans (@HoustonTexans) November 6, 2020

We hope you enjoyed the article ‘NFL – Week Nine: Best Spread Bets.’ How do you see these games playing out? Let us know!

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